Friday, September 27, 2019

Sports Betting Strategy - What Winner Are You Looking For?

There are as many sports betting strategies as there are sports bettors. Estimates I have seen indicate that about 98% of those strategies are losers. I have come to the conclusion that is because most gamblers are focused on the wrong kind of "winner".
Most will start with a game, and then try to the best of their ability to predict the winner. They will spend a lot of time looking at stats and records, and all kinds of other things that are irrelevant as to whether one team or the other may beat the spread. They then get a good feeling in their gut one way or the other and place a bet. Win or lose, the process gets repeated over and over again throughout the season.
They never know why they win, or why they lose a bet. A bettor who works that way is destined to lose or win based solely on luck. They would be bettor off to flip a coin and spend the rest of the time doing better things.
For those who win betting on sports, identifying a situation that gains an edge is the first step in finding a game to bet. It is the situation itself that presents the edge, not the teams involved in the game.
If you were to bet on a team that was playing in a situation where they are at a proven 10% disadvantage in the probability of a win, you will lose most of the time no matter how good the team may be or anything else that shows up in the stats.
The point is, those who win money betting on sports do it by betting situations that produce an advantage. The advantage of a situation is the winner they look for. The teams playing are secondary.
Now that you know exactly what kind of winner you are looking for, you will be more likely to find it.

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